Большинство голосующих в Огайо [штат дававший 20 голосов выборщиков, который решал исход всей кампании] считали, что они голосуют за Керри. Опросы на выходе проводимые Си-эН-эН показывали, что женщины в Огайо отдали победу Керри над Бушем (53% против 47%). Керри победил Буша и согласно мнению мужчин - 51% против 49%. Пока не проголосовал третий пол, Керри удерживал Штат.
2. Посмотрите на процент прироста количества голосов здесь (Флорида):
http://ustogether.org/Florida_Election.htm
3. описание отличий от exit polls по штатам - 0.1% там, где есть бумажные распечатки и +5% для Буша (при 0% для Керри) там, где электронное голосование НЕ сопровождается проверкой:
http://www.prisonplanet.com/articles/november2004/031104dontmatch.htm
4. http://www.scoop.co.nz/mason/stories/HL0411/S00072.htm
Here are the figures. They list the four contemporaneous and uncorrected exit polls. Kerry is listed first and Bush second in each pair of figures. Published = the figure presented as the vote count as of 10.00 a.m. EST on 11/3/04
Arizona Poll one 45-55 Final 45-55 Published 44-55 | Colorado Poll one 48-51 2nd 48-50 3rd 46-53 Published 46-53 | Louisiana Poll one 42-57 Final 43-56 Published 42-57 | Michigan Poll one 51-48 Published 51-48 Published 51-48 | Iowa Poll one 49-49 3rd 50-48 Final 49-49 Published 49-50 |
New Mexico Poll one 50-48 2nd 50-48 3rd 50-48 Final 50-49 Published 49-50 | Maine 3rd poll 55-44 Published 53-45 | Nevada: 3rd poll 48-49 Published 48-51 | Arkansas: 3rd poll 45-54 Published 45-54 | Missouri Final 46-54 Published 46-53 |
These tracking polls were right where you would expect them to be and within the margin of error. However, if we look at some other states, the figures are beyond curious. either the exit polls were wrong or the vote count is wrong:
Wisconsin Poll one 52-48 3rd 51-46 Final 52-47 Published 50-49 | Pennsylvannia Poll one 60-40 3rd 54-45 Final 53-46 Published 51-49 | Ohio Poll one 52-48 2nd 50-49 3rd 50-49 Final 51-49 Published 49-51 | Florida Poll one 51-48 2nd 50-49 3rd 50-49 Final 51-49 Published 47-52 |
Minnesota Poll one 58-40 3rd 58-40 Final 54-44 Published 51-48 | New Hampshire Poll one 57-41 3rd 58-41 Published 50-49 | North Carolina Poll one 3rd 49-51 Final 48-52 Published 43-56 |
Taking the figures and measuring the size and direction of the poll to supposed vote count discrepancy, we find the variance between the exit poll and the final result:
Wisconsin Bush plus 4% | Pennnsylvannia Bush plus 5% | Ohio Bush plus 4% | |
Florida Bush plus 7% | Minnesota Bush plus 7% | New Hampshire Bush plus 15% | North Carolina' Bush plus 9% |
In summary our election results appear to have been tampered with to give Bush some unearned electoral votes.
